Trend Chart: The trendlines are plotted on
daily candlesticks using a semi-log scale chart. The candlesticks create a
price pattern on the Trend Chart. The vertical axis is the dollar price of
the underlying ETF. The horizontal axis is the month and date of the chart
pattern.
Trendline: A straight line with two anchor
points. The starting point of the trendline begins from the first
anchor. The trendline is drawn to the second anchor point and extends
through the chart pattern, essentially forming a ray. These anchor points
can be adjusted such that the trendline does not cross through any price
pattern. A bold and thicker line identifies the current trendline.
An upward sloping line means the trend is ascending. A downward sloping
line means the trend is descending.
The Low: The price low
preceding the initial break of the descending trendline. This price low
usually serves as the first anchor or is near the first anchor point. The
Low is identified only when the current trendline is ascending and is drawn on
the chart.
The High: The price high preceding the initial
break of the ascending trendline. The price high usually serves as the
first anchor or is near the first anchor point. The High is identified
only when the current trendline is descending and is drawn on the
chart.
First Anchor: The first point of the trendline where
the trend begins. It is located at or near The Low for an ascending trend or The
High for a descending trend. The First Anchor acts like a pivot for the
changing slope of the trendline when the Second Anchor changes
position.
Second Anchor: The second point of the trendline,
symbolized by an ellipse. The Second Anchor is located further along the
chart pattern and is connected by a line from the first anchor. The line
extends through the Second Anchor and forms the ray of the trendline. When
the price level of the second anchor is crossed by the price pattern, a trend
change event has triggered. This trigger level is the Trend Change Date
and Price listed in the MTG Sector Trend Trigger List. When the Second
Anchor is identified and placed onto the chart pattern, the trendline becomes
established.
Point #1: The price pattern has crossed
the current trendline. Annotated on the chart by #1 on the day the
candlestick broke the trendline.
Point #2: The swing
high/low after Point #1 is identified. Point #2 is annotated on the chart
by #2 and is always placed before the price pattern reaches the price level of
the Second Anchor. When the price level of Point #2 is crossed by
the price pattern, a trend change event has triggered. This trigger level is the
Trend Change Date and Price listed in the MTG Sector Trend Trigger List.
At times, Point #2 can only be identified after plotting Point #3. On
ascending trendlines, the price level for Point #2 is the low of the
candlestick: on descending trendlines, the high of the candlestick.
Point #3: The swing high/low that retests the preceding
highest high or lowest low, respectively, in the chart pattern of the current
trendline. Annotated on the chart pattern by #3. Once the price
pattern crosses the highest high and makes a new high in an ascending trend, the
trendline is redrawn and the pre-established trendline becomes the current
trendline. Similarly, when new lows are made in a descending trend, the
trendline is redrawn.
Trend Change Arrow: Placed by the
candlestick on the date when a trend change occurs. It is placed when the
price pattern crosses Point #2 and/or the Second Anchor. An up arrow
indicates an ascending trend change, and a down arrow indicates a change to a
descending trend. The day the Trend Change Arrow is identified is the day
when the corresponding trendline is drawn. This date is the same date as
the Trend Signal Date in the MTG Sector Trend Trigger
List.