The MTG Stalk Sheet
February 8, 2008



The MTG Stalk Sheet presents you with the best individual stocks that Morpheus Trading Group is stalking for potential trade entry each day, all in a concise and easy to understand format. Please be sure to read the MTG Stalk Sheet User Guide in order to understand the terminology below and to receive the maximum benefit from your subscription. Enjoy!


"FULL-SERVE" STALK LIST



AKS - AK Steel

  • Industry - Iron & Steel
  • Side - Long
  • Shares - 150
  • Stalking since - February 8
  • Timeframe - 3 - 20 days
  • Trigger - 45.12
  • Target - watch price and volume action
  • Stop - 42.69
  • Notes -



  • UTHR - United Therapeutics

  • Industry - Biotechnology & Drugs
  • Side - Long
  • Shares - 100
  • Stalking since - February 6
  • Timeframe - 2 - 5 days
  • Trigger - 88.05
  • Target - 93.75
  • Stop - 84.25
  • Notes -
      • UTHR broke the downtrend line of a month long correction on 2/4.
      • Has basically traded in a tight horizontal range over the past eight sessions.
      • The entry is over yesterday's high plus some wiggle room.
      • Trade expectations - Look for UTHR to confirm the break of the downtrend line by closing above 88. We expect a quick pop in price with a target just below the 50% retracement level of the move down. The mimimum target is the 38% retrace level.

    "SELF-SERVE" STALK LIST - UPDATED EVERY MONDAY (Click here to view the "Self-Serve" Stalk List section of the user guide.)

      LONG WATCHLIST AND TRIGGER PRICES - (changes to trigger prices are highlighted in red)

      Pullback entries -

    • TEVA - 47.01
    • ALXN - 69.32
    • AEM - 61.86
    • CMO - 16.20
    • ALNY - 32.15
    • UTHR - re-entry 88.05 (false triggered at 87.60 on 2/5)
    • MER - 59.35 (triggered 2/4)
    • FXI - 151.51 (gapped above entry)
    • KSS - 45.51 (rolled over after gapping above the entry)
    • HME - 49.55 (triggered 2/4 on weak action)
    • RTN - 65.41 (triggerd 2/7)
    • MCD - 54.63 (triggered 2/7)

      Breakout entries -

    • CNX - 77.51
    • APOL - 81.80
    • IMCL - 44.51
    • DBC - 32.76
    • NLY - 20.33 (triggered 2/5)

      SHORT WATCHLIST AND TRIGGER PRICES


    • RS - 49.15 (gapped below trigger on 2/5)
    • GOL - 18.99 (triggered 2/5)
    • DRIV - 30.27 (triggered 2/5)
    • CIEN - 25.48 (triggered 2/5)
    • PCLN - 101.99 (triggered 2/5)

      Note - Be sure to check for earnings dates before entering setups from the self-serve list over the next few weeks.



    Daily Stalk Summary

    Below is an overview of all "full-serve" open positions, as well as a performance report on all "full-serve" positions that were closed only since the previous day's newsletter. Net P/L figures are based on the $100,000 Stalk Sheet model account size. Changes to open positions since the previous report are listed in red text below:

      Open positions (coming into today):

        (flat)

      Closed positions (since last report):

        AAPL short (100 shares from Fed. 6) -
        sold short 129.44, cover 120.15, points = + 9.29, net P/L = + $927

        DE short (125 shares from Fed. 5) -
        sold short 86.41, cover 82.02, points = + 4.39, net P/L = + $546

        AEM long (200 shares from Fed. 7) -
        bought 60.13, sold 60.43, points = + 0.30, net P/L = + $56

        CCJ long (200 shares from Fed. 6) -
        bought 32.64, sold 31.68, points = (0.96), net P/L = ($196)

      Current equity exposure ($200,000 max. buying power):

        $0


      Notes:

      • Per intraday e-mail alert:
        • Covered AAPL on the open to lock in a quick $900 gain.
        • Covered DE on the open to lock in a mid-sized gain and guard against a reversal.
        • Raised the stop in CCJ, which triggered around 11:20am for a small loss.
        • Bought and sold AEM for a scratch.
      • If/when UTHR triggers we will adjust stop price to go beneath the most recent swing low on the hourly chart.


      Market Conditions / Gameplan:

      After staging an impressive mid-day rally, averages sold off sharply around 2pm and erased much of the days gains. While it looks as if the market is trying to bottom out at these levels, we would like to see some confirmation, such as a full day of buying with strong price action into the close. Until then, we will keep our exposure to the long side at a minimum.


      Market Leaders:

        Monitoring the price action of leading stocks is the best way to gauge the health of the market. This list of leaders is updated every Monday.

          Leaders - ABX, AEM, ACI, ADM, APOL, BMRN, BVN, CNX, DBC, FDG, FCL, FXE, GOLD, GG, GLD, ILMN, PPDI, SID, SLV, WLT

          Leaders at/near the 50-day MA (a key institutional support level) - BYI, DV, IBN, PBR, PPDI, TRA

          Leading stocks breaking the 50-day MA (last week) - none

        Notes on leaders:

      • Coal stocks are showing great relative strength

      Open Position Detail:

      • flat


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      Edited by Deron Wagner,
      MTG Founder and Head Trader



      DISCLAIMER: There is a risk for substantial losses trading securities and commodities. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. The Company and/or its affiliates, officers, directors and employees may or may not buy, sell or have a position in the securities discussed in The MTG Stalk Sheet and may profit in the event the shares of the companies discussed in The MTG Stalk Sheet rise or fall in value. Morpheus Trading, LLC (hereinafter "The Company") is not a licensed broker, broker-dealer, market maker, investment banker, investment advisor, analyst or underwriter. This discussion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. A stock's actual results could differ materially from descriptions given. The companies discussed in this report have not approved any statements made by The Company. Please consult a broker or financial planner before purchasing or selling any securities discussed in The MTG Stalk Sheet. The Company has not been compensated by any of the companies listed herein, or by their affiliates, agents, officers or employees for the preparation and distribution of any materials in The MTG Stalk Sheet. Past performance never guarantees future results.

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      All Rights Reserved



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