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The Wagner Daily (includes Stock Screener subscription)

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The Wagner Daily
  • Nightly ETF and stock trading newsletter — near to intermediate-term swing trading
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The Wagner Daily is an end-of-day swing trading newsletter that uses our proven trading and market timing strategy to provide you with our top daily ETF and stock picks.

Service includes preset, exact entry and exit prices for all trades on the watchlist, along with annotated technical chart patterns and educational trading commentary.

Based on the consistently profitable momentum trading strategy of Deron Wagner, professional trader, best-selling author of several trading books, and founder of MTG, The Wagner Daily has been e-mailed to ETF and stock traders nightly since 2002.

The typical holding period of our ETF and stock trades averages 2 to 5 weeks (depending on market conditions), making it an ideal service if you are looking for an alternative to traditional long-term "buy and hold" investing, but are not able to sit in front of your monitor and daytrade.

Through the use of mechanical stop orders, members who have daytime jobs may enter brokerage orders to buy and sell at night, or in the morning before they go to work. Since we provide a complete end-of-day trading system, The Wagner Daily is an ideal service for "part- time" traders and investors.

Unlike most other stock picking services, we proudly track and publish the results of every trade we make, both winners and losers. Over the past 11 years since our company's inception, we have beaten the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones by a wide margin and have the statistics of our trading profits to prove it. Being in business since 2002, complete transparency and integrity is what has always separated us from the competition.

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The Wagner Daily - September 30, 2013
Proven swing trading strategy, ETF & stock picks, and market timing model...since 2002



market timing model: Confirmed Buy

Current signal generated on close of September 9.

We are now in "confirmed buy" mode, so portfolio exposure can be more than 100% if you have a marginable account. However, please make sure that current long positions in your portfolio are working before adding new ones. Portfolio exposure should be at least 75% to 100% (or more) right now.

    Past signals:

    • Neutral signal generated on close of August 15
    • Buy signal generated on close of July 11
    • Neutral signal generated on close of July 5
    • Sell signal generated on close of June 24

(click here for more details)

today's watchlist (potential trade entries):

today's watchlist
Having trouble seeing the open positions graphic above? Click here to view it directly on your web browser instead.


open positions:

Below is an overview of all open positions, as well as a report on all positions that were closed only since the previous day's newsletter. Changes to open positions since the previous report are listed in pink shaded cells below. Be sure to read the Wagner Daily subscriber guide for important, automatic rules on trade entries and exits. Click here to learn the best way to calculate your share size.


today's watchlist
Having trouble seeing the open positions graphic above? Click here to view it directly on your web browser instead.


closed positions:

open position summary
Having trouble seeing the closed positions graphic above? Click here to view it directly on your web browser instead.


ETF position notes:
  • Canceled the $XLK buy setup in favor of $FXO.
stock position notes:
  • $BLOX buy setup triggered.

ETF, stock, and broad market commentary:

The relative weakness in the S&P 500 and Dow Jones continued, as both averages failed to find traction last week and closed with a new swing low on Friday. The NASDAQ Composite and Russell 2000 closed out the week in positive fashion, still trading in a tight range near the swing high.

Volume picked up on the NYSE, producing a "distribution day" for the S&P 500. However, the selling was limited to the morning session, so the distribution was not severe.

Investor fears over a potential government shutdown has the S&P 500 futures trading about -0.8% lower as of this writing. So, how will we handle the news? The answer is pretty simple, we ignore it. Yes, ignore it. During a bull market, there is usually a wall of worry to climb, and those who focus on headlines from popular financial sites are more likely to be shaken out of long positions, especially if they lack conviction in their trading system.

That isn't to say we ignore all news, as we certainly pay close attention to earnings. But aside from earnings, we distance ourselves from Wall Street chatter by focusing on the price and volume action. Holding through a market pullback is never easy, but it isn't our job to decide when the market rally is over. The market will tell us what to do through our stocks. If our positions hold up, then great. If not, then our stops will trigger, and we will eventually be forced into cash.

Our best performing long position on the ETF side right now is Guggenheim Solar ETF ($TAN). The weekly chart below shows our first entry on a pullback to the rising 10-week MA, followed by an add on a breakout above the highs of a six-week long consolidation:

$TAN ENTRIES

We are canceling the $XLK trade from Friday in favor of a bullish setup in the First Trust Financials AlphaDEX Fund ($FXO). $FXO has recently pulled back to the rising 50-day MA after stalling at the prior high. The 20-day EMA has just crossed above the 50-day MA, which is a positive sign, signaling that the current consolidation may be close to breaking out.

This isn't a guarantee, but the moving averages point to a positive shift in momentum over the past few weeks. The 200-day MA remains in a clear uptrend.

We look for $FXO to chop around for a few more days or weeks above the 50-day MA, minus a few shakeout bars. As long as the price action holds above the 50-day MA, then it should eventually break the downtrend line and a move to new highs.

$FXO BREAKOUT

On the stock side, $BITA, $SLCA, $BDBD, and $XOOM may be headed for a big week IF these stocks can clear last week's high. These are presently among the best stocks to buy right now. $BLOX triggered our buy entry on Friday and moved out on strong price and volume action. We will look to add to the position in $BLOX over the next few weeks if a low risk entry point develops.

As mentioned above, $BITA could breakout this week, as it looks to be in great shape, consolidating in a tight range at the highs. On the chart below, note the big pick up in volume. This stock should have enough momentum to run to the $20 level or higher in a few weeks. Also notice the price action holding above the rising 10-week moving average:

BITA WEEKLY BREAKOUT

We have one new buy setup in $LNKD today, on a potential pullback to the 10-week MA. It may not happen, but it's definitely worth a shot to keep a limit order out there just in case there is an unexpected pullback:

$LNKD PULLBACK TO RISING 10-WEEK MA

If you are new to trading or have had little success in the past, it is a great idea to get in the habit of planning the trade and trading the plan. Attempt to identify all potential outcomes before taking on a trade, because once the trade in on, there should be no surprises. Anything is possible.

The idea is to worry before the trade and simply focus on executing the plan when you are in. Focus on the price and volume action rather than the money. This is key. If you do the right thing, the money will eventually follow. Above all, remember to trade what you see, not what you think!




DISCLAIMER: There is a risk for substantial losses trading securities and commodities. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Morpheus Trading, LLC (hereinafter "The Company") is not a licensed broker, broker-dealer, market maker, investment banker, investment advisor, analyst or underwriter. This discussion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. A stock's actual results could differ materially from descriptions given. The companies discussed in this report have not approved any statements made by The Company. Please consult a broker or financial planner before purchasing or selling any securities discussed in The Wagner Daily (hereinafter "The Newsletter"). The Company has not been compensated by any of the companies listed herein, or by their affiliates, agents, officers or employees for the preparation and distribution of any materials in The Newsletter. The Company and/or its affiliates, officers, directors and employees may or may not buy, sell or have positions in the securities discussed in The Newsletter and may profit in the event the shares of the companies discussed in The Newsletter rise or fall in value. Past performance never guarantees future results.

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